Of Masters and Their Slaves

"It only stands to reason that where there's sacrifice, there's someone collecting the sacrificial offerings. Where there's service, there is someone being served. The man who speaks to you of sacrifice is speaking of slaves and masters, and intends to be the master." ―Ayn Rand


Thursday, June 26, 2014

Analysis: Are ISIL Terror Attacks in Lebanon a Serious Threat to Hezbollah?

Lebanon Is Just Too Far From ISIL's Relevant Theatres of Operations

Can the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) play its game in Lebanon and force Hezbollah to change its strategy in Syria?

Not really.

At best, ISIL can unleash minor terror campaigns in Lebanon, as the entity lacks a serious embracing environment among the country's Sunni Muslims. Sporadic terror blasts cannot force Hezbollah to withdraw any detachments from Syria.

What for, anyway?

Terror operatives are best fought with covert counterterrorism security operations -- not infantry.

Terrorist arrested in Beirut
Terrorist arrested in Beirut

To the contrary, Hezbollah should now have the motivation to send its terrorists deeper into Syria, into ISIL strongholds, and hunt the leadership of its foe in their bases and homes.

What ISIL gains from any terror attacks on Hezbollah targets, including the party's embracing environment, is sympathy from Sunni extremists. This may translate into more recruits for ISIL. But, none of the Sunnis in Lebanon are right now in a position to confront Hezbollah militarily.

Alas, even the official Lebanese state (including the Lebanese Armed Forces) is in the grip of the more powerful, but unofficial, Hezbollah state.

Terror blast in Dahiyeh
Terror blast in Dahiyeh

But, with its terror attacks in Lebanon, ISIL may be telling the West: You despise me, but, I'm after Hezbollah, so spare me your wrath and I'll weaken the Khomeinist Resistance Axis, for both you and me.

Indeed, the West will not go back into Iraq -- at least, not like it did in 2003, with thousands of troops on the ground. What for? To bleed for the sectarian regime of Nouri al-Maliki and its anti-US masters in Tehran?

Let the Resistance Axis deal with ISIL!

Thursday, June 12, 2014

Does the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant Serve the Interests of Iran?

A Deadly Viper on Iran's Borders is Never Good News for Tehran

The Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) does serve the Khomeinist regime's so-called Resistance Axis in terms of narrative validation and anti-Sunni propaganda, and in draining and discrediting the anti-Assad regime rebels in Syria. 

But once a raging ISIL becomes victorious and dominant, the Resistance Axis's aforementioned advantages lose their current primary importance.

ISIL terrorists parading
ISIL terrorists parading
ISIL is a genuine threat to the Shrines of Ahlulbayt in Iraq, and to the Shiites in general. Narrative validation and Western sympathy are always good to have, but what major difference do they make if ISIL gains the upper hand in Mesopotamia? The Shiites of Iraq would have to live under Saddam Part Two, except that the new 'Saddam' is enraged and far more bloody than the buried one.

Is it to the interest of the Khomeinist regime that ISIL deploys its terrorists on Iran's borders?

That's very much doubtful.
 
Hezbollah Watch® blogs at The Islamic Counterterrorism Institute and at hezbollahwatch.tumblr.com. Hezbollah Watch® tweets at @hezbollahwatch. Find Hezbollah Watch® on Google+.
 

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